The Washington Post is a notorious deficit scold. In its editorials as well as in its straight news articles, it regularly paints America’s fiscal situation in dire, Republican-friendly terms. Liberal economists, particularly CEPR’s Dean Baker, keep a running commentary of the paper’s front-page editorializing on the dangers of the national debt, which is apparently a problem that outweighs unemployment, crumbling infrastructure and essentially any other dilemma the country faces. Baker calls the Post “Fox on 15th Street,” accusing it of “ignoring journalistic standards” in its ideologically driven “deficit reduction jihad.” It’s true that the Post engages in some serious fear-mongering on what it sees as the feds’ unrestrained borrowing. No matter that the U.S. is mired in the worst slowdown since the Great Depression; there’s no time like the present to cut the national debt. One might wonder whether the paper, and specifically business-section reporter Lori Montgomery, who is often behind the anti-spending screeds, is an arm of the Pete Peterson “Fix the Debt” claque.
Today, in a “news” article about the CBO’s budget projections, Montgomery makes the factual case that deficit spending, while declining to less than $1 trillion in 2013 for the first time in years, will resume its steady march upward by the end of the decade. The national debt — our total debt, which is different from the yearly gap between revenues and expenditures — is still increasing, and represents a greater portion of GDP today (77 percent) than any time since World War II. It’s true, of course, that the U.S. borrows approximately 40 cents of every dollar it spends. That’s a lot. But whether such borrowing is deliberate — a response to a fiscal crisis and perhaps even a savvy move given that super-low interest rates mean investors are essentially paying to lend the government money — or “out of control” is not a fact but a value judgment. Just because Eric Cantor and John Boehner say something doesn’t make it true. (And Cantor sure says it, ad nauseam. Just today: “There is no greater moral imperative than to reduce the mountain of debt.”)
But Montgomery goes beyond the facts. She could have chosen to stick to the text of the CBO report, which expresses sufficient concern about borrowing:
The report lists several reasons for additional action to restrain borrowing: First, the debt is “very high by historical standards,” larger as a percentage of the economy than at any time in the nation’s history except for World War II, which “poses an increased risk of precipitating a fiscal crisis.”
Reporting on the actual document wasn’t enough, though. One word in this sentence especially stuck in my craw:
The national debt would stabilize to around 77 percent of the economy after years of rampant borrowing to fight the worst recession since the 1930s, the CBO said.
Well, no. The CBO never said “rampant,” a word so heavy with judgment that it could have been plucked from a GOP press release. Adam Lanza went on a “rampage” at Newtown. Corruption is often described as “rampant” in backroom politics. Criminals “run rampant” in lawless cities. So when you use the same word to define government borrowing, you’re putting a pretty forceful thumb on the moral scales. Given the parlous state of the economy in 2008 and the possibility of a financial-system meltdown, have the past few years of borrowing really so disproportionate to the problem? With unemployment hovering around 8 percent, is it really a bad thing for the federal government to go into debt to keep people out of poverty? Borrowing to fund unemployment insurance and Social Security payments (illusory trust fund “lockbox” notwithstanding) ameliorates significant social problems.
Plenty of smart people on the left, from Paul Krugman to Peter Orszag, are of the opinion that the national debt, while undoubtedly a long-term dilemma, is not something we should deal with in the short term. Year-to-year deficits represent increased spending on counter-recessionary measures like the one-time stimulus package and higher unemployment benefits that will eventually disappear. Furthermore, the time to tackle the deficit is after GDP growth returns to pre-recession levels, not before. Slate’s Matt Yglesias even writes that “there’s genuinely no good reason to be balancing the budget or worrying about the deficit right now,” despite the unrealized (for over five years now!) concerns about non-existent inflation and hypothetical “bond vigilantes” who will punish the nation for its fiscal looseness. Furthermore, there is a certain uselessness to curbing the amount the government borrows simply by cutting spending when the real driving force behind the need to borrow — rising health care costs — represents an as-yet-unsolved quandary. “The noncrazy worry about large projected long-term deficits has nothing to do with deficits and instead is about the fact that buying health care services for all these old people is likely to be very expensive,” Yglesias adds. Former OMB director Orszag admits that the long-term debt is problematic, but also writes that “stimulus spending, even when the economy is very weak, isn’t free. Nevertheless, it’s still a very good idea.” Stimulus spending, it should be noted, would likely be funded with borrowed cash. The Post, for its part, editorializes against such deficit doves, branding them the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” caucus and opining that stabilizing (rather than reducing) the national debt would be a “paltry achievement.”
“Rampant,” then, is not the word I would expect from the Post’s editorial page, not from a front-page article. And it’s certainly not a word I would choose to describe U.S. borrowing. “High” is fine, “increased” is fine — both express mathematical realities. But “rampant” implies that borrowing is somehow wrong, sinful and unrestrained. It buys into the Republican fantasy of President Obama grabbing wildly at piles of Treasury cash and ignores the fact that every dime of borrowed money has been spent on a program authorized — quite deliberately, if not necessarily wisely — by Congress. Ironically, at the same time it demonizes deficit spending, the Post regularly rails against the sequester-imposed spending cuts that would . . . reduce the need to deficit spend, running editorials titled “Defense cuts that need to be avoided.” All politics are local at the Post, and God forbid curbing borrowing involve pain for northern Virginia’s defense contractors and Pentagon suppliers.
In a sharp contrast to the Post article, a piece from Politico at least acknowledges the tension between slashing borrowing and boosting the economy:
The numbers underscore the persistent tension between reducing the deficit and helping along the economic recovery. Indeed, if the cuts were to go into effect on top of tax increases already enacted, it will cost the economy about one percent of GDP in 2013.
Meanwhile, Republicans are reacting in standard Republican fashion, pushing legislation that would require the president to submit a plan specifying the year in which the budget will balance. “We know, and the American people agree, spending is the problem,” John Boehner intoned, ignoring the fact that maybe, uh, a depressed economy and historically low tax rates are the problem. Alabama Representative Mo Brooks has proposed a Constitutional amendment that would make failing to balance the budget an impeachable offense. (No word on whether representatives who voted for said spending could also be removed from office.) Paul Ryan, the erstwhile GOP vice-presidential candidate, issued a predictable statement in reaction the budget office’s projections:
The CBO’s report is yet another warning that we need to get spending under control. The deficit is still unsustainable.
It’s a press release that could have been penned by the Washington Post.